UPI Market Share: A Clear Case of Duopoly in India?

Came across this chart today and it tells a very interesting story about the UPI ecosystem.

Top 2 controls more than 85 percent of the entire UPI market. this is a clear example of a duopoly.

Even though UPI is open and free to use, the market naturally shifted toward a winner-takes-most model. This usually happens because of:

1. Network effects

The more people use a payments app, the more valuable it becomes. When family, friends and shops are all on the same platforms, usage grows even faster.

2. User experience

The dominant apps entered early, offered simple design, fast payments and low failure rates. A smooth experience quickly builds trust.

3. Habit and switching cost

Once users link bank accounts and use an app daily, they rarely switch unless something goes wrong.

This shows how even free and open systems can slowly create monopoly or duopoly structures simply through user behaviour.

I’m currently using SuperMoney in recent months and it has been smooth so far. Curious to know which platform others here prefer for UPI.

Also would like to know if Dhan plans to add UPI on its platform in the future. Interestingly, even Groww doesn’t appear in UPI share despite having a massive user base.

Hi @Goal_Archiver Yes, I am personally using Phone Pe and G Pay on some of my use-cases.

For Dhan, or rather at Raise (our hold-co) we prefer to build products where we have a unique thought process on which we can take a bet. Payments is something that we don’t have any such unique insight, so don’t want to be there just because we should be. Unless we can build on a value-prop, figure out a edge, and build for a community, we don’t want to force-fit a product there.

Dhan was also the last entrant to broking industry, but we had our insights to it and were able to take a serious shot. Are we there yet? No - still lots of ground to cover, but in a journey of 0 → 100, we possibly are at #10. Lot more to do on core business.

1 Like

I use BHIM and Slice for clean experience.

The 30% cap was originally scheduled to take effect by end of 2024 — but NPCI (effectively with RBI oversight) pushed the deadline to December 2026.